Polymarket Puts Iran Strike at 28.5% – Why Crypto Markets Are Pricing the Wrong Black Swan
The hook is a number: 28.5%. That is the probability Polymarket assigns to a...
Law
•
CryptoPlanB
•
2026-07-19
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Fear & Greed
26
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202610
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
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12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
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18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
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30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
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Altseason Index
43
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Trend Tags
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
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| 1 |
Ethereum
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| 1 |
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|
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| 1 |
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BNB
|
$570 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.1 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0726 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1651 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
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|
$6.78 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8171 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
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